The attempt to understand the subprime crisis (gets the best answer)?

Deal Score0

I have one question about the subprime crisis. From what I understand, was the subprime crisis as banks where the provision of adjustable mortgages that started the low monthly payments and then, after about 5 years ago, they were increased to make a difference. After this period of 5 years, we realized that they had not ruled out the monthly payments and mortgages. It was not a problem because we do not have these types of mortgages, either because the credit was for the bulk processing this loan? I also read that he fell as interest rates and home values ​​were between 2004-2005 is the incentive to buy a house was great, but I do not know why interest rates decrease house values ​​and why would that time was up? I appriciate all your answers, and I’ll get better response if you desire!

  1. Reply
    Beverly S
    April 29, 2011 at 11:32 pm

    I have worked in the mortgage business since 1986. The problem was that in order to get 100% financing all the buyers needed was a 580 credit score (which is low). They did not have to prove income since these loans were often “stated income” loans- which I call “liar loans”. So they get a good rate for usually first 2 or 3 years – some are 5 but most were 2-3 fixed. Then they adjust upwards every 6 months. First adjustment 3%! The goal was for these buyers to use the 2-3 years to get their finances & credit in shape to refinance before the adjustments started. Then they could refinance on to a conventional fixed rate loan. Most of the ones my company did, we were able to refi because we told them what they needed to do to get to that point. The adjustable rate loans were always there but you had to qualify based on the highest possible payment the loan would adjust to. You also had to have good credit and provable income.
    The interest rates in 2003-2005 were the lowest in 40 years so everyone wanted to buy- housing values were going up quickly because there were so many people buying.
    Hope this explains!

  2. Reply
    Rush is a band
    April 30, 2011 at 12:27 am

    Bad decisions by lenders (both bank and broker), borrowers and builders all fueled by greed…

    Here’s what I mean.

    Banks were greedy for higher returns. This greed caused them to relax their lending standards so that more people would qualify for mortgages, allowing them to lend out more money and make more money.

    Relaxed lending standards (and underwriting criteria) and offering more sub-prime loans which offered more attractive interest rates to them. Sub-prime means not a prime risk for lending. That can include no downpayment, suspect credit scores and self-reported income (not all sub-primes were ARM’s, sub-primes also included interest only loans and even something called a loan or negative amortization where the balance actually increased every month because the payment didn’t even pay off all of the interest). Notice that all of those factors are now important again for getting a mortgage. So – the sub-prime mess couldn’t have happened without greedy, irresponsible banks.

    Mortgage brokers actually had financial incentive to push people into higher rates because they got paid more. They also generally get paid a percentage of the home loan value and had incentive to drive people into higher (amount) loans. They did so whether or not it was good for their customers. Greedy mortgage brokers contributed to the problem.

    Borrowers were just as bad. Just as greedy and just as irresponsible. Borrowers saw home values shooting up by tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands and wanted to get in on the action. They borrowed as much as possible to get the biggest home possible. Many didn’t ask the difficult questions or bother to learn about the mortgage product they were getting into. They wanted a home so it would appreciate and then they could tap the newfound equity to buy more stuff. Some people saw condos going nuts and decided to ‘flip’ one as an investment. Real estate couldn’t lose, buy another, the bank will let me. So, this couldn’t have happened without greedy borrowers. Twice during this run up I had occasion to get a mortgage. Twice I took a 30 year fixed and kept the payment below 25% of my gross income. The last time I got a mortgage the bank said I could have what I was asking for and not close my last mortgage (they were apparently insane).

    Builders, watching demand for housing go nuts decided that they wanted to build more houses and more expensive houses to match all of that demand. They didn’t realize that a lot of that demand was artificial and didn’t want to lose share to other builders. So they built. And built. And built some more. When the artificial demand went away, they had created too much supply in their greed. Also contributed to the crisis of falling prices…

    Not one guilty party, but many. Not one person (or industry) burned, but many…

    It’ll take a while to smooth all of this mess out!

    good luck!

  3. Reply
    April 30, 2011 at 1:18 am

    Here are the short answers to your questions:

    1. The products you describe are known as “Adjustable Rate Mortgages” (ARMs) or “Fixed-Adjustables” (fixed rate for a period of time and then the interest rate adjusts). ARM loans have been around for decades, so these are not completely new loan products. The subprime market did introduce some innovations, such as “80/20 loans” where the borrower borrows the money for their “20%” downpayment on the bigger “80%” loan. Sometimes these loan products end up having NO equity for the borrower (and therefore little incentive for borrowers to keep up their payments).

    2. There is no such thing as a “bad” loan product in and of itself. ARM loans have a horrible reputation right now but it’s not the fault of the product itself. The problem is (as you mentioned) loose underwriting guidelines where just about anyone (regardless of crappy credit, etc.) could get a loan for a higher rate of interest.

    3. You’re right again. There were tons of incentives to buy homes (including incentives provided by the government if not downright compulsion by the government for mortgage companies to make foolish loan decisions to poor and minority communities which could not afford to make the payments).

    There was not ONE central reason for the mortgage problem. Rather, it was a confluence of factors. I’ll describe the main ones in my answer below.

    Those who study mortgage trends have said that there has been a pretty consistent pattern of a “bust” in mortgages about every 18 years since World War II. We’ve seen problems like this before and we will survive this “crisis.” If you’re looking for a mortgage right now, rates are still very good. The world is not ending (as the politicians who are itching to “help” would have us believe).

    In my opinion, the best way to prevent this from happening again, is for the Free Market system to be allowed to punish bad decisions and reward good decisions (as it always does). Government regulation is just something politicians and anti-business people like to propose because it makes them feel good. In reality, the mortgage industry is already highly regulated… and yet the “mortgage crisis” occurred. One of the many regulations that the government has is to disclose VERY clearly and plainly the interest rate of the loan and any adjustments to the interest rate… and yet borrowers claimed that they “didn’t understand what they were signing.”

    Now to the larger question of what caused the mortgage problem… In summary, EVERYONE involved played a part in the “crisis” to some extent or another.

    BORROWERS — Rather than living within their means, many borrowers decided that they wanted to have a bigger, more expensive house than they could afford. In order to afford these houses, they often turned to loan products such as “Interest Only” loans. With IO loans, you basically pay the minimum amount possible every month and the principal is never reduced. To complicate matters, some loans featured “zero down” where the borrower had absolutely NO equity in the property. Here is an illustration of a typical problem: A property is worth $ 800,000 at the time of purchase. The borrower takes out an Interest Only loan for $ 800,000 (putting nothing down). Then the property value drops to $ 700,000. Now the borrower has a loan for $ 800,000 for a property that is only worth $ 700,000. The borrower has ZERO equity in the property so guess what… they walk away from the property and the lender ends up taking the loss.

    MORTGAGE COMPANIES (BAD OR POOR UNDERWRITING GUIDELINES) — In an effort to make as many loans as possible (and to sell these loans to foolishly eager investors), many mortgage companies relaxed their guidelines beyond reason. Some loans had a Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio of 100 (or higher on rare occasion!). If the property was worth $ 100,000, then an LTV meant that $ 100,000 was loaned to the borrower (as stated before, no equity). The lower the LTV, the less risky (and more desirable) the loan is. Another arguably stupid mortgage product was the “80-20” loan. A loan with an LTV of 80 or lower is not considered risky in the mortgage business. Therefore, Mortgage Insurance (MI) is not required for loans with an LTV of 80% or less. (If a borrower has an LTV of 85 and pays it down to 80, then they can drop the MI from the loan.) MI is basically insurance against borrower default. For example, if a borrower defaults on his loan and the lender forecloses and sells the property and loses $ 2000 in the process, then the MI company will cut a check to the lender for $ 2000 to make the lender “whole.” Rather than requiring borrowers to carry MI on their loans (which would have mitigated risk), the mortgage companies allowed the borrowers to take out a second loan on the same property (a “second lien” or Home Equity Line of Credit or HELOC). This HELOC money was then used as the “money down” on the first loan so that MI could be avoided. For example, if the property is worth $ 100,000, the borrower might get a HELOC for $ 20,000 and put that money down on the first loan, thereby lowering the LTV to 80 (thereby exempting them from MI). Another popular loan was an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) or “Fixed-Adjustable” (where the Interest Rate is fixed for a few years and then starts to adjust (up or down) based on a financial instrument). Borrowers were allegedly given a low “teaser rate” and then (because they bought too much house) couldn’t make the payments with the higher interest rate when the rate adjusted. (It seems hard for me to believe that an interest rate adjustment would be so severe that it would prevent someone from making their payments, but that’s what the borrowers allegedly claim.) Maybe this is too many detailed examples, but suffice it to say that a lot of stupid mortgage products were offered by mortgage companies (and accepted by borrowers).

    INVESTORS — In their quest to make a “fast buck”, investors bought up tons of these mortgages since these riskier “sub-prime” loans brought higher returns (higher interest rates). These investors should have performed a “due diligence” on the loans they bought; but they didn’t. When investors purchase loans, there is usually (if not always) a “buyback” provision. This means that if a loan goes bad and the investor finds that there was some irregularity in the underwriting (the loan decisioning process) that the mortgage company who sold them the loan is required to “buy back” the loan. The problem is that most mortgage companies are “cash poor” (meaning that they borrow the cash that they lend from a “warehouse lender” temporarily until they can sell the loan to an investor and pay back their warehouse lender). So when these loans started going bad (hundreds of millions of dollars worth!), the investors demanded the mortgage companies buy back the loans (according to their agreement). So mortgage companies were now looking at buying millions and millions of dollars worth of loans back when they had little or no money of their own! So what happened? Countless mortgage companies declared bankruptcy. With all of the hullaballoo around bad mortgages, investors decided to stop buying sub-prime mortgages. Since there was nobody buying these mortgages and since mortgage companies don’t have their own cash, mortgage companies found that they could no longer make these sub-prime loans. The sub-prime market dried up almost instantly.

    RATING AGENCIES — The job of rating agencies is to investigate the creditworthiness of investments (many of which included mortgage debt). These agencies did not do their due diligence and ended up giving these investments an artificially high rating. So investors thought the investments were less risky than they were. Investors will always buy investments that have a high return and low risk (but obviously they weren’t low risk).

    THE GOVERNMENT — The government has always put pressure on mortgage companies to make loans to poor and/or minority borrowers. Because these borrowers typically have worse credit and/or less income and/or greater debt, they had to go to the “sub-prime” market to get a mortgage loan. Is it so hard to imagine that a borrower with less income, more debt and bad payment habits will default on a loan (especially when they’ve put little or no money down)? Of course not. But the government continues to “wish away” laws of basic economics and common sense. In order to “do right” by poor people and minorities, the government expected mortgage companies suspend their normal sound underwriting guidelines and business sense. (Obviously, the sub-prime problem goes beyond just poor borrowers, but my point is that the government contributed to the crisis to some extent.) The government is now poised and ready to exacerbate the crisis beyond what it is now by “freezing” interest rate adjustments. Here is an illustration of the problem: Let’s say you have $ 5000 in cash. I’m a bank and I tell you that if you deposit your $ 5000 with me that I will pay you 1% during the first 2 years but then I will pay you 7% after those 2 years. So you deposit your money at the low rate of interest. After two years (when you’re about to get your higher interest rate), the government comes in and says, “Sorry. You’re not getting your 7% as promised. In fact, you can’t take your money out of that bank; you must leave it there and only collect 1% for another 10 years.” What will happen when you have another $ 5000 to deposit? Will you put it in my bank? Absolutely not.

    Leave a reply

    Register New Account
    Reset Password